Wednesday, November 29, 2006

week 13 sleepers

QB
Aaron Brooks- I think it might be a little out of the question for Brooks to match the 347 yards that Houstons def has allowed, but I do think that 225 and a TD or two is possible.

RB
Sammy Morris- With Ronnie Brown out for at least week 13, Morris will be get the bulk of the carries. Expect him to take advantage of this opportunity and get 95 yards. Maybe a TD although Jacksonville has a good run defense.

D. Williams (CAR)- If Foster is unable to play, Williams will be a good number 2 RB, Phi is ranked 28th against the run.

WR
Nate Washington- TB is allowing almost 2 passing TDs per game and Ward is out.
Jerricho Cotchery- GB ironically is allowing the same amount of Passing TDs per game as TB, Cotchery has a good chance of catching one of those.

TE
C. Baker- See above.
Fletcher- Tenn has allowed 19 passing TDs this year and 5 have been to TEs


Def
Pit- Tampa Bay is only scoring 11.4 points per game over the last 5 games and 12.9 on the season.

Tuesday, November 28, 2006

Week 13 Start 'em

In this post, I try to stay away from the easy pick. No brainer picks (LT, LJ,etc.) can be made by anyone. These players although not sleepers, may not be easy decisions to start and also may not be relied on on a weekly basis. Make sure to check back daily as I update the players based on injuries.

QB
D. Brees- San Fran is allowing 337 yds a game and 2.8 TDs. Brees has a 5 game steak of 300+ passing yards.

C. Pennington- Last meeting was 2002- NYJ won 42-17. Expect a closer game, but the Jets are in the hunt for the Wild Card. Chad is playing well enough to win.

T. Brady- Detroit is in the lower half the the league in all defensive aspects. Brady is looking to play better than last week against an easier opponent. not to mention I am going to this game and a little wishful thinking may be involved in this decision.

S. McNair (BAL)- Cinci is scoring a lot of points lately. Baltimore might have to try and air the ball out to keep up with the high octane of ocho cinco. Cinci also is dead last in passing yards defisively.


RB
S. Jackson- Jackson is the only constant on the Rams right now, if Bulger's injury is serious, Jackson may be even more involved.

J. Addai- Seems like a trendy pick, but Indy seems to have finally picked Addai as the outright starter and not to mention that Ten is ranked 30Th against the run. Don't expect this game to be as close as the last meeting.

A. Green- Believe it or not. The Jets are the2nd worst defense against the run. green is averaging 89 yds and .333 TD against the AFC east this season.

L. Maroney/ C. Dillon- Expect the Pats to control the game and clock. One of these guys will go for 80 and a TD.

WR
M. Muhammad- Expect the yardage, but limit your expectations on scoring a TD.

D. Henderson (N.O.) - Ride the arm of D. Brees. With Colston out, Henderson has become his favorite target and oh yeah, they are playing SF.

L. Coles- it was a coin flip that decided who to pick in this one. Cotchery lost, but both may play well in this shoot out.

TE
T. Heap- Heap has 51 rec for 535 yds this year 84 of those yards came in the last match up. Both teams are playing well, so expect similar results from Heap in this game.

C. Cooley- QB J Campbell only had 118 yds last week, but 89 of them were to Cooley. It seems that Cooley is his favorite target so far.

LJ Smith- Let me list the number TEs have posted against Carolina this year. Crumpler, Heap, Cooley, Colston, Witten, Richard Owens (Min), Reggie Kelley (CIN) have all scored TDs this season against Carolina and Alex Smith (TB) had 72 yards.

DEF
KC- Kansas City Def is playing well right now and Cleveland's offense just got shut out. While another shut may not happen, expect KC to control the clock and limit the time Clev. has the ball.

NE- Playing Detroit and as I mentioned above I will be at this game. I think the fan factor will play a huge role in the outcome of this game.

Oak- Oak def is actually ranked 8th! Houston has not played well since beating Jax and that was the defense that beat them. Expect a low scoring game.

Wednesday, November 22, 2006

Week 12 Start 'em

QB
Eli Manning (NYG)- He has been playing awful lately and will pick up the level of play this week against the 28th ranked passing Def.
J. Delhomme (CAR)- The Redskins have allowed 237.6yds/game, 20 TDs, with only 3 interceptions.
C. Frye (CLE)- Cinci has the leagues worst passing def.

RB

B. Westbrook (PHI)- Indy's run def is bad. Philly will have to rely on westbrook with McNabb out.

F. Gore(SF)- Gore is comming off a 200+ game. STL rushing def is 31st. Last game against STL, he piled up 127 and a TD.

L. Tomlinson- No brainer. He will score atleast 3 TDs in this blow out.

WR

B. Edwards (CLE)- Cinci has the leagues worst passing def. Braylon has been clicking with Frye.

K. Johnson (CAR)- Redskins def is just awful. He will have a big game along with Steve Smith.

P. Burress (NYG)- He will hook up with Eli often in this matchup.

TE

A. Crumpler (ATL)- He will be looking to rebound from last weeks disaster. The saints have allowed TEs to do well in the past.

K. Winslow- This guy is my favorite. He will put up great numbers against the worst pass Def.

R. McMichael- May not get great yards, but looks to score in the game.

Def

Carolina- Playing agaisnt the Redskins with new QB and no Portis.

Seattle- GB may be without Favre and starting a 3rd string QB. Either way the Pats found a way to shut them out.

San Diego- Oakland is struggling tp put together any offense.They aer only averaging 11 points per game.

Thursday, November 16, 2006

Week 11 sleepers

QB
M. Leinart- Not always a recommended starter but playing against Det.

RB
L. Betts- With C. Portis out, Betts will get the majority of the carries. Watch out for TJ Duckett to get goal line carries.TB is 24th against the run.

WR
D. Branch- May get a few looks in the inzone.

TE
Kris Wilson (KC)- WHO??? With T. Gonzalez out, Wilson may get some action.

DEF
Miami- Dolphins have been playing tough defense lately and Minn is struggling.

Wednesday, November 15, 2006

Week 11 Start 'em

QB
T. Brady (NE)- Packers have given up 14 passing TDs this season. Expect Brady to bounce back after 2 bad starts.
D. McNabb (PHI)- Titans are averaging 223 yards and have allowed 17 TDs thru the air.
J. Kitna (DET)- This game could be a shoot out considering both have really bad defenses.

RB
Willie Parker (PIT)- Last meeting Fast Willie rushed for 117 and a TD, expect the same in this rival.
M. Barber (DAL)- Going against the worst run Def.
A. Thomas (BUF)- Ride the A-Train while you can. Expect a big game again. he is averaging 4.2 yds per carry over the last 2 games.

WR
D. Jackson (SEA)- San Fran can be passed against. If anyone will have a big game it will be D. Jax.
M. Harrison (IND) - Last week it was Wayne, this week Harrison.
J. Galloway (TB)- Washington season is going down the drain. Not to mention they rank 31st against the pass.

TE
K. Winslow (PIT)- This guy has turned into a must start against any team.
LJ Smith (PHI)- expect about 50yds and maybe a TD.
Owen Daniels(HOU)- He is averaging 55 and a TD over the last 4 games. Buf has allowed 12 passing TDs this year.

DEF
Tampa bay- The skins have lost C.portis for the season and starting QB Campbell.
Jax- Eli Manning is not playing very well and injuries to the Giants are adding up.
Chi- Chi def will get to Pennington a lot.

Wednesday, November 08, 2006

Week 10 sleepers

QB
Chad Pennington- NYJ- NE safety Rodney Harrison will not be playing in this game. Last game against the Pats he posted 306 yds adn 2 TDs. Expect around the same...or maybe more.
RB
Anthony Thomas- Buf-Thomas replaced McGahee and had a big day, 20 carries for 95 yards and a touchdown. He did this against the 9th rated rushing defense so he should be able to match those numbers this week when the Bills travel to Indianapolis, ranked last in the league against the run.

WR
Justin Gage-Chi- Gage saw a lot more playing time when Bernard Berrian left Sunday's game with a rib injury and Berrian will miss the next two to four weeks. Justin finished the game with 2 receptions for 51 yards but he should be the starter this week when the Bears face the Giants.

TE
***Vernon Davis-all indications point to Davis playing this week. In Davis' only game this year he had 5 receptions for 37 yards and a touchdown. ***(Updated to doubtful for this week)

Def
Green Bay- Minesota has had a difficult time scoring the last few weeks. They might get the yardage, but won't score too much.

Tuesday, November 07, 2006

Week 10 Studs

QB- D. McNabb- looking to rebound against a weak pass defense
QB- J.Kitna- has been producing big stats lately against better teams
QB- Marc Bulger- Had 360 yards and 3 TD last game agaisnt SEA. Expect similar results this week.

RB- K.Jones(Det) - San Fran is averaging 124 yds rushing (22nd) per
game
RB- Fred Taylor- He guaranteed a big outting and Hou is 24th in
Rushing Def
RB- Warrick Dunn(ATL)- LT put up 172 last week. Dunn will put up half that and a TD
WR- R. Wayne (IND) The Bills have allowed 11 TDs thru the air.
WR- L. Coles (NYJ) - 100 yds and TD in last gm Vs NE. NE is 25th
against the pass.
WR- T. Holt- 154 yds and 3 TDs last game Vs SEA

TE-Heath Miller (Pit) -The Saints, in the last 3 games have yielded 4.33 receptions, 51 yards and 0.67 touchdowns per game to tight ends

TE- T. Heap (Bal) Titans hae given up 14 passing TDs this year.
TE- T. Gonzalez (KC) - Last 3 games averaging 105 yds and .66TDs

DEF- Bal- Ten is only averaging 15ppg. Bal is allowing 13ppg.
DEF- Denver- Oak offense cannot score.
DEF- Jacksonville- Jax is 4-0 at home with 2 shutouts. Average opposition score is 6 in Jax.

Thursday, November 02, 2006

Week 9 sleepers

QB- D. Huard KC- This will be a high scoring affair.
QB- C. Frye CLE- Will gets some yards in playing from behind
QB-J .Kitna Det-Good bet to put up big numbers vs struggling secondary

RB-C. Benson CHI- Good chance to do something off the bench
RB- B. Jacobs NYG- NY will dominate, so Jacobs will get his touches.
RB- C.Williams TB- NO can be run on and Cadi will produce at home.

WR- Mike Furry- DET- CB Hall will match up with Roy williams.
WR- M.Jenkins- ATL- Detroit defense is terrible and Jenkins - Vick are hooking up a lot.
WR- I. Bruce STL -Good chance again in high-scoring affair and Law looks shaky

TE- B. Watson NE-Big game last week and solid matchup again so consider
TE- J. Wiggins Min-SF gives up a lot of production to the TE so consider
TE- O. Daniels Hou- Coming off huge game and NY has been weak vs the TE this year

Wednesday, November 01, 2006

Week 9 studs

QB
Eli Manning- Houston is ranked 25th in passing Def.
T. Brady- If Pats cannot conrol running game, this onw will be a shoot out.
A. Smith- Should exploit the weekness that the Patriots found.

RB
Duece Mcallister- He already destroyed them this year (123 +TD)and TB cannot stop the run.
Maroney/Dillion- If they can control the run game, one of them will go off as Indy is 32 against the run.
Chester Taylor- SF is averaging 1.5 rushing TDs.

WR
R. Moss- Monday night against the 25 ranked pass defense. He will enjoy the prime time.
C. Chambers- Looking for his breakout game and it will happen late against the best defense.
E. Kennison- Should be a shoot out

TE
Crumpler- Vicks favorite target and everyone scores against Det.
Shockey- Houston 25th against pass
T. Gonzales- Last 2 weeks total yards 256

Def
Jax- Defense is playing well and playing Tenn
Sea- The raiders are having a difficult time scoring on offense
SD- Will stop R. Droughns.